Americas
United States
US inflation, growth, unemployment, the 10-year Treasury yield and the federal funds rate, each with its source and date, alongside the economies it trades with.
Figures checked . Each one names its source and the period it covers.
The latest figures
InflationAugust 2026
3.4
CPI, % on a year earlier
OECD · 41 days since the period ended
Matches Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (computed from the index) for August 2026
Economic growthQ2 2026
2.2
real GDP, % on a year earlier
OECD · 103 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
UnemploymentSeptember 2026
4.2%
of the labour force
Matches Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED for September 2026
10-year government bond yield8 October 2026
5.22%
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
Federal funds rateSeptember 2026
3.75%
a year, effective, monthly average
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
Cargo through its ports
Imports by sea30 days
+1.0%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Exports by sea30 days
-1.6%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Port calls30 days
-3.4%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
30 days to 2 October 2026. AIS-based estimates of cargo through the economy's ports; percentage changes only, per PortWatch's terms. Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org.
The IMF's figures and projections
| IMF World Economic Outlook | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth, % | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Inflation, annual average % | 2.7 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
Source: IMF DataMapper, World Economic Outlook, as published when these figures were checked. A year is marked as the IMF's projection until the World Bank publishes an actual figure for it. TradeTurbulence makes no forecasts of its own here.
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How these figures are checked
Every figure is fetched from the publisher named under it, once a day. Where a second publisher reports the same figure for the same period, the two are compared: "Matches" means they agree within rounding; "Sources differ" shows both values and we do not choose between them. Annual figures carry their year, because they are a year or more behind.