Europe
United Kingdom
UK inflation, growth and unemployment from the ONS, gilt yields and sterling, with US goods trade with the UK and cargo through UK ports.
Figures checked . Each one names its source and the period it covers.
The latest figures
InflationAugust 2026
3.1
CPI, % on a year earlier
Office for National Statistics · 41 days since the period ended
Sources differ: OECD has 3.3 for August 2026, against 3.1.
Economic growthQ2 2026
0.5
real GDP, % on the previous quarter
Office for National Statistics · 103 days since the period ended
Matches OECD for Q2 2026
UnemploymentJune 2026
4.9%
of the labour force, aged 16 and over
Office for National Statistics · 103 days since the period ended
Matches OECD for June 2026
10-year government bond yieldAugust 2026
4.99%
OECD via FRED · 41 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
US dollars per pound9 October 2026
1.3220
USD per GBP
Federal Reserve via FRED · latest from European Central Bank
Matches European Central Bank for 5 October 2026
Goods trade with the United States
US imports from the UK12 months
$64.5bn
-4.6% on the previous 12 months
US exports to the UK12 months
$111.7bn
+24.6% on the previous 12 months
US goods balance12 months
$47.1bn
The US sells more to the UK than it buys there
September 2025 to August 2026, US$, not seasonally adjusted. Source: US Census Bureau via FRED (IMPUK, EXPUK). These are the US's own customs records, so they measure trade from the American side.
Cargo through its ports
Imports by sea30 days
-12.1%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Exports by sea30 days
-2.8%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Port calls30 days
-3.8%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
30 days to 2 October 2026. AIS-based estimates of cargo through the economy's ports; percentage changes only, per PortWatch's terms. Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org.
The IMF's figures and projections
| IMF World Economic Outlook | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth, % | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Inflation, annual average % | 3.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
Source: IMF DataMapper, World Economic Outlook, as published when these figures were checked. A year is marked as the IMF's projection until the World Bank publishes an actual figure for it. TradeTurbulence makes no forecasts of its own here.
How these figures are checked
Every figure is fetched from the publisher named under it, once a day. Where a second publisher reports the same figure for the same period, the two are compared: "Matches" means they agree within rounding; "Sources differ" shows both values and we do not choose between them. Annual figures carry their year, because they are a year or more behind.