Stress Index 82.5 ▲ 0.11D Rerouted traffic 11.9% ▲ 1.3 pt30D Brent $125.44 ▲ 22.7%1M USD/INR ₹96.73 ▲ 1.7%1M USD/JPY ¥158.25 ▲ 3.1%1M US 2s10s 0.44 ▲ 0.041M Dollar index 121.38 ▲ 2.4%1M US effective tariff rate 7.82 ▲ 0.071M Brent crude in rupees ₹12,081.10 ▲ 25.1%1M Kerch -100% vs 2019–23 Hormuz -96% vs 2019–23 Bab el-Mandeb -56% vs 2019–23 Bosporus -50% vs 2019–23 Suez Canal -33% vs 2019–23 US CPI gasoline +8.2% nowcast · 14 Oct Fuel import prices +18.0% nowcast · 16 Oct US gasoline in 2 wks $4.35 nowcast · 19 Oct

Stress Index 82.5 ▲ 0.11D Rerouted traffic 11.9% ▲ 1.3 pt30D Brent $125.44 ▲ 22.7%1M USD/INR ₹96.73 ▲ 1.7%1M USD/JPY ¥158.25 ▲ 3.1%1M US 2s10s 0.44 ▲ 0.041M Dollar index 121.38 ▲ 2.4%1M US effective tariff rate 7.82 ▲ 0.071M Brent crude in rupees ₹12,081.10 ▲ 25.1%1M Kerch -100% vs 2019–23 Hormuz -96% vs 2019–23 Bab el-Mandeb -56% vs 2019–23 Bosporus -50% vs 2019–23 Suez Canal -33% vs 2019–23 US CPI gasoline +8.2% nowcast · 14 Oct Fuel import prices +18.0% nowcast · 16 Oct US gasoline in 2 wks $4.35 nowcast · 19 Oct

Middle East

The Gulf producers, Israel, Türkiye, Iran and Egypt: oil and gas, the Gulf currencies' pegs to the dollar, and the trade that passes through Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and Suez.

Egypt

Inflation: 14.1% 2025
Economic growth: 4.4% 2025
Egyptian pounds per US dollar: 52.38 11 October 2026

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Iran

Inflation: 42.2% 2025
Economic growth: -2.8% 2025

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Israel

Inflation: 1.5% August 2026
Economic growth: 7.3% Q2 2026
Shekels per US dollar: 3.057 9 October 2026

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Qatar

Inflation: 1.3% 2024
Economic growth: 2.9% 2025
QAR per US dollar: 3.64 peg

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Saudi Arabia

Inflation: 2.0% 2025
Economic growth: 4.5% 2025
SAR per US dollar: 3.75 peg

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Türkiye

Inflation: 34.9% 2025
Economic growth: 2.6% Q2 2026
Lira per US dollar: 49.17 9 October 2026

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United Arab Emirates

Inflation: 1.3% 2025
Economic growth: 4.0% 2024
AED per US dollar: 3.6725 peg

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