Iran
Iran's inflation and growth from the World Bank and the IMF, US goods trade with Iran and cargo through Iranian ports, each sourced and dated.
Figures checked . Each one names its source and the period it covers.
The latest figures
Inflation2025
42.2%
a year, annual average
World Bank, World Development Indicators
Not compared with the IMF, World Economic Outlook: The IMF reports Iran on the Iranian year, which starts on 21 March.
Economic growth2025
-2.8
real GDP, % a year
World Bank, World Development Indicators
Not compared with the IMF, World Economic Outlook: The IMF reports Iran on the Iranian year, which starts on 21 March.
Unemployment2025
8.3%
of the labour force, ILO modelled estimate
World Bank, World Development Indicators
The World Bank's figure is the ILO's modelled estimate, not a national survey.
Not compared with the IMF, World Economic Outlook: The IMF reports Iran on the Iranian year, which starts on 21 March.
Goods trade with the United States
US imports from Iran12 months
$0.0bn
-36.1% on the previous 12 months
US exports to Iran12 months
$0.1bn
-8.1% on the previous 12 months
US goods balance12 months
$0.1bn
The US sells more to Iran than it buys there
September 2025 to August 2026, US$, not seasonally adjusted. Source: US Census Bureau via FRED (IMP5070, EXP5070). These are the US's own customs records, so they measure trade from the American side.
Cargo through its ports
Imports by sea30 days
-80.7%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Exports by sea30 days
-93.2%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Port calls30 days
-53.1%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
30 days to 2 October 2026. AIS-based estimates of cargo through the economy's ports; percentage changes only, per PortWatch's terms. Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org.
The IMF's figures and projections
| IMF World Economic Outlook | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth, % | -1.5 | -6.1 | 3.2 |
| Inflation, annual average % | 50.9 | 68.9 | 39.6 |
Source: IMF DataMapper, World Economic Outlook, as published when these figures were checked. A year is marked as the IMF's projection until the World Bank publishes an actual figure for it. TradeTurbulence makes no forecasts of its own here. The IMF reports Iran on the Iranian year, which starts on 21 March.
On TradeTurbulence
- Brent rose 23% in a month. The Hormuz counts point both ways
- Brent is high. It is not extreme.
- The Strait of Hormuz hit zero three times. It is still at 18%.
- Saudi Arabia entered the war. The index cannot see it yet.
- Ukraine hit Iran-bound ships in the Caspian. Oil is up 22%.
- Navigating the Ripple Effects: Global Trade and Market Forecasts in the Wake of Iran's Attack on US Oil Tanker
- Iran's Oil Strategy: Navigating the Strait of Hormuz Amid Conflict and Global Market Shifts
- Iran Conflict and Its Ripple Effect on Global Stock Markets: An In-Depth Analysis
- Oil Market Turmoil: How Gulf Giants' Output Cuts and the Iran Conflict Are Reshaping Global Energy
- Global Economic Shockwaves: The Impact of Iran's Strait of Hormuz Shutdown
How these figures are checked
Every figure is fetched from the publisher named under it, once a day. Where a second publisher reports the same figure for the same period, the two are compared: "Matches" means they agree within rounding; "Sources differ" shows both values and we do not choose between them. Annual figures carry their year, because they are a year or more behind.