Europe
Euro area and EU
Euro area inflation and growth, the ECB's deposit rate and the euro, with US goods trade with the EU and the IMF's projections, each sourced and dated.
Figures checked . Each one names its source and the period it covers.
The latest figures
InflationSeptember 2026
3.8
HICP, % on a year earlier (computed from Eurostat's index)
Matches OECD for December 2025
Economic growthQ2 2026
1.2
real GDP, % on a year earlier
OECD · 103 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
UnemploymentAugust 2026
6.4%
of the labour force, seasonally adjusted
Eurostat · 41 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
ECB deposit facility rate9 October 2026
2.50%
a year
European Central Bank via FRED
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
US dollars per euro9 October 2026
1.1206
USD per EUR
Federal Reserve via FRED · latest from European Central Bank
Matches European Central Bank for 5 October 2026
Goods trade with the United States
US imports from the EU12 months
$563.1bn
-12.6% on the previous 12 months
US exports to the EU12 months
$446.1bn
+13.4% on the previous 12 months
US goods balance12 months
−$117.1bn
The US buys more from the EU than it sells there
September 2025 to August 2026, US$, not seasonally adjusted. Source: US Census Bureau via FRED (IMP0003, EXP0003). These are the US's own customs records, so they measure trade from the American side. The US Census series covers the European Union's 27 members, which include every euro-area country but also non-euro members such as Poland and Sweden.
The IMF's figures and projections
| IMF World Economic Outlook | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth, % | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Inflation, annual average % | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
Source: IMF DataMapper, World Economic Outlook, as published when these figures were checked. A year is marked as the IMF's projection until the World Bank publishes an actual figure for it. TradeTurbulence makes no forecasts of its own here.
On TradeTurbulence
How these figures are checked
Every figure is fetched from the publisher named under it, once a day. Where a second publisher reports the same figure for the same period, the two are compared: "Matches" means they agree within rounding; "Sources differ" shows both values and we do not choose between them. Annual figures carry their year, because they are a year or more behind.