Asia
China
China's inflation, growth and the yuan, with US goods trade with China, cargo through Chinese ports and the IMF's projections, each sourced and dated.
Figures checked . Each one names its source and the period it covers.
The latest figures
InflationAugust 2026
0.8%
on a year earlier
OECD · 41 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
Economic growthQ2 2026
4.3
real GDP, % on a year earlier
OECD · 103 days since the period ended
One source: no second publisher of this figure is available
Unemployment2025
4.6%
of the labour force, ILO modelled estimate
World Bank, World Development Indicators
The World Bank's figure is the ILO's modelled estimate, not a national survey.
Matches IMF, World Economic Outlook for 2025
Yuan per US dollar9 October 2026
6.6921
CNY per USD
Federal Reserve via FRED · latest from European Central Bank
Matches European Central Bank for 5 October 2026
Goods trade with the United States
US imports from China12 months
$272.8bn
-28.3% on the previous 12 months
US exports to China12 months
$106.5bn
-13.4% on the previous 12 months
US goods balance12 months
−$166.4bn
The US buys more from China than it sells there
September 2025 to August 2026, US$, not seasonally adjusted. Source: US Census Bureau via FRED (IMPCH, EXPCH). These are the US's own customs records, so they measure trade from the American side.
Cargo through its ports
Imports by sea30 days
-12.3%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Exports by sea30 days
-2.0%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
Port calls30 days
-15.1%
on the same 30 days a year earlier
30 days to 2 October 2026. AIS-based estimates of cargo through the economy's ports; percentage changes only, per PortWatch's terms. Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org.
The IMF's figures and projections
| IMF World Economic Outlook | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth, % | 5 | 4.4 | 4 |
| Inflation, annual average % | 0 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Source: IMF DataMapper, World Economic Outlook, as published when these figures were checked. A year is marked as the IMF's projection until the World Bank publishes an actual figure for it. TradeTurbulence makes no forecasts of its own here.
On TradeTurbulence
- China's share of US imports is back to its 2000 level.
- The China discount reversed in dollars. In yuan it never did.
- US imports didn't fall under tariffs. They changed address.
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How these figures are checked
Every figure is fetched from the publisher named under it, once a day. Where a second publisher reports the same figure for the same period, the two are compared: "Matches" means they agree within rounding; "Sources differ" shows both values and we do not choose between them. Annual figures carry their year, because they are a year or more behind.