Stress Index 82.5 ▲ 0.11D Rerouted traffic 11.9% ▲ 1.3 pt30D Brent $125.44 ▲ 22.7%1M USD/INR ₹96.73 ▲ 1.7%1M USD/JPY ¥158.25 ▲ 3.1%1M US 2s10s 0.44 ▲ 0.041M Dollar index 121.38 ▲ 2.4%1M US effective tariff rate 7.82 ▲ 0.071M Brent crude in rupees ₹12,081.10 ▲ 25.1%1M Kerch -100% vs 2019–23 Hormuz -96% vs 2019–23 Bab el-Mandeb -56% vs 2019–23 Bosporus -50% vs 2019–23 Suez Canal -33% vs 2019–23 US CPI gasoline +8.2% nowcast · 14 Oct Fuel import prices +18.0% nowcast · 16 Oct US gasoline in 2 wks $4.35 nowcast · 19 Oct

Stress Index 82.5 ▲ 0.11D Rerouted traffic 11.9% ▲ 1.3 pt30D Brent $125.44 ▲ 22.7%1M USD/INR ₹96.73 ▲ 1.7%1M USD/JPY ¥158.25 ▲ 3.1%1M US 2s10s 0.44 ▲ 0.041M Dollar index 121.38 ▲ 2.4%1M US effective tariff rate 7.82 ▲ 0.071M Brent crude in rupees ₹12,081.10 ▲ 25.1%1M Kerch -100% vs 2019–23 Hormuz -96% vs 2019–23 Bab el-Mandeb -56% vs 2019–23 Bosporus -50% vs 2019–23 Suez Canal -33% vs 2019–23 US CPI gasoline +8.2% nowcast · 14 Oct Fuel import prices +18.0% nowcast · 16 Oct US gasoline in 2 wks $4.35 nowcast · 19 Oct

Africa

Four African economies tied to world trade in different ways: South Africa through metals and the Cape route, Nigeria through oil, Egypt through the Suez Canal, and Kenya through the port of Mombasa.

Egypt

Inflation: 14.1% 2025
Economic growth: 4.4% 2025
Egyptian pounds per US dollar: 52.38 11 October 2026

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Kenya

Inflation: 4.1% 2025
Economic growth: 4.6% 2025
Kenyan shillings per US dollar: 129.71 11 October 2026

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Nigeria

Inflation: 23.0% 2025
Economic growth: 4.0% 2025
Naira per US dollar: 1,331.00 11 October 2026

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South Africa

Inflation: 3.2% 2025
Economic growth: 0.9% Q2 2026
Rand per US dollar: 16.53 9 October 2026

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