Mindoro Strait
From a record low last November to a record high this June.
Normal +10% against its 2019–2023 baseline
Reading for — 6 days ago. Figures are a 30-day mean, so one quiet day does not move them.
Two years of daily transits
Month by month
| Month | Transits/day | vs baseline |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 52 | +9% |
| September 2026 | 53 | +11% |
| August 2026 | 49 | +2% |
| July 2026 | 53 | +10% |
| June 2026 | 59 | +23% |
| May 2026 | 53 | +10% |
The 18 months before that
| Month | Transits/day | vs baseline |
|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | 32 | −33% |
| March 2026 | 36 | −26% |
| February 2026 | 34 | −29% |
| January 2026 | 39 | −18% |
| December 2025 | 33 | −30% |
| November 2025 | 31 | −35% |
| October 2025 | 32 | −33% |
| September 2025 | 33 | −30% |
| August 2025 | 34 | −29% |
| July 2025 | 31 | −35% |
| June 2025 | 32 | −33% |
| May 2025 | 32 | −33% |
| April 2025 | 34 | −30% |
| March 2025 | 35 | −27% |
| February 2025 | 34 | −29% |
| January 2025 | 40 | −17% |
| December 2024 | 41 | −15% |
| November 2024 | 38 | −20% |
Record high 60.2/day (June 2026), record low 29.7/day (November 2025), on the 30-day mean since January 2019.
Source
Daily transit counts derived from satellite AIS positions by IMF PortWatch, covering 2841 days from 1 January 2019.
Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org. PortWatch is published under IMF terms rather than CC BY 4.0, unlike the rest of the data on this site: the figures here are derived and transformed, and the underlying series is not republished.
The sharpest reversal on the board
Mindoro set its record low in November 2025 and its record high seven months later, in June 2026. No other route in this set has travelled that far that fast.
The move came in one month: May 2026, from 32 transits a day to 52.
Same month as its neighbour
Luzon Strait stepped up in exactly the same month, from 62 to 86, and has also held the higher level. Two Philippine routes moving together in May 2026 is the more interesting fact — and the reason to read this page alongside that one rather than on its own.
Why the two baselines disagree here
Against 2019–2023 Mindoro is up modestly. Against the last twelve months it is up sharply. That gap is the whole story: the route spent most of the past year below its long-run normal and then overshot it. A page quoting only the pre-2024 baseline would call this a small change, and a page quoting only last year would call it a large one. It is a recent, large move from a low base.