Latest data

Chokepoints

Strait of Magellan

Around five vessels a day — too few for a percentage to mean much.

6 transits per day

Far above normal +53% against its 2019–2023 baseline

This route carries too few vessels for a percentage to mean much; the counts below are the honest figure.

Reading for — 6 days ago. Figures are a 30-day mean, so one quiet day does not move them.

Two years of daily transits

30-day mean. Dashed line is the 2019–2023 baseline of 4/day. Range over the window: 3–6.

Month by month

MonthTransits/dayvs baseline
October 20266+59%
September 20266+56%
August 20266+44%
July 20265+33%
June 20265+18%
May 20265+18%
The 18 months before that
MonthTransits/dayvs baseline
April 20264−5%
March 20264−3%
February 20263−28%
January 20263−13%
December 20254−3%
November 20254−10%
October 20254−8%
September 20254+13%
August 20254+13%
July 20256+44%
June 20254+8%
May 20254+0%
April 20254+5%
March 20254−10%
February 20254+0%
January 20253−15%
December 20244−8%
November 20244−8%

Record high 13/day (February 2020), record low 2.3/day (February 2021), on the 30-day mean since January 2019.

Source

Daily transit counts derived from satellite AIS positions by IMF PortWatch, covering 2841 days from 1 January 2019.

Source: IMF PortWatch, https://portwatch.imf.org. PortWatch is published under IMF terms rather than CC BY 4.0, unlike the rest of the data on this site: the figures here are derived and transformed, and the underlying series is not republished.

Flagged, deliberately

This route is marked low-traffic on the board, and the reason is arithmetic rather than editorial. It averages a handful of transits a day, and against a baseline of about four that makes almost any change look dramatic in percentage terms while amounting to one or two ships.

The board therefore refuses to build headline facts from this route, and sorts it to the bottom of the table regardless of how large its percentage looks.

What the count actually shows

Traffic has risen modestly over the past year, from around three a day to around five. The record spans roughly two to seven. Those are the honest numbers, and they are small.

Why it is on the board at all

The Strait of Magellan is one of the two ways around the southern tip of South America, and it is the alternative if the Panama Canal is constrained. It carries little traffic today, and a page that recorded nothing here would have nothing to compare against if that changed.

That is the case for publishing quiet routes: the value is in the baseline, not in today’s reading.

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